๐Ÿ“‹ Group Discussion (GD) Analysis Guide

๐Ÿ’ป Should Countries Adopt a Shared Digital Currency to Facilitate Global Trade?

๐Ÿ“ Introduction

๐ŸŒ Opening Context

In a rapidly globalizing world, digital currencies offer transformative potential for international trade by reducing transaction costs and facilitating faster cross-border payments.

๐Ÿ“œ Topic Background

The rise of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and stablecoins such as USDT has ignited debates about the feasibility of a shared global digital currency. Institutions like the IMF and the Bank for International Settlements have explored frameworks for digital currencies, underlining their potential to standardize and streamline global trade.

๐Ÿ“Š Quick Facts and Key Statistics

  • ๐Ÿ’ฐ Global Cryptocurrency Market Value (2024): $1.6 trillion, showcasing the growing adoption of digital assets.
  • ๐Ÿ’ณ Cross-Border Payment Fees: Average of 6.3%, which a shared currency could reduce significantly.
  • ๐Ÿฆ CBDC Rollouts: 11 countries have launched Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs).
  • ๐ŸŒ Trade Impact: Digital currencies can save $120 billion annually in cross-border transaction fees.

๐Ÿค Stakeholders and Their Roles

  • ๐Ÿ›๏ธ Governments and Central Banks: Establish regulatory frameworks and issue digital currencies.
  • ๐Ÿ’ผ Private Corporations: Develop supporting technology and infrastructure.
  • ๐ŸŒ International Organizations (IMF, BIS): Provide governance frameworks for interoperability.
  • ๐Ÿ‘ฅ Consumers and Merchants: Benefit from seamless and cost-effective transactions.

๐Ÿ† Achievements and Challenges

โœจ Achievements

  • โœ… Financial Inclusion: CBDCs could extend services to 1.7 billion unbanked individuals worldwide.
  • โœ… Reduced Costs: Digital currencies minimize reliance on intermediaries, saving billions annually.
  • โœ… Real-Time Settlements: Facilitates instant cross-border trade settlements.
  • โœ… Adoption of Blockchain: Enhances transparency and security in global transactions.

โš ๏ธ Challenges

  • โŒ Regulatory Frameworks: Lack of global consensus on regulations.
  • โŒ Cybersecurity Risks: Vulnerability to hacks and fraud.
  • โŒ Currency Volatility: Potential instability in value due to market dynamics.

๐ŸŒ Global Comparisons

  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Chinaโ€™s Digital Yuan: Accelerated cross-border trade but faces concerns over surveillance.
  • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Eurozoneโ€™s Digital Euro: Focused on regional interoperability within EU nations.

๐Ÿ“– Case Studies

  • ๐Ÿ๏ธ The Bahamasโ€™ โ€œSand Dollarโ€: Enabled inclusive trade through innovative digital currency solutions.

๐Ÿ’ก Structured Arguments for Discussion

  • โœ… Supporting Stance: “A shared digital currency would streamline global trade, saving billions and boosting economic efficiency.”
  • ๐Ÿ›‘ Opposing Stance: “The risks of cybercrime and lack of trust between nations make such a currency unfeasible.”
  • โš–๏ธ Balanced Perspective: “While a shared digital currency offers immense potential, its success hinges on robust regulations and global cooperation.”

๐ŸŽฏ Effective Discussion Approaches

  • ๐Ÿ“Š Opening Approaches:
    • Begin with the significance of rising cross-border payment fees.
    • Reference successful CBDC implementations like the Digital Yuan.
    • Highlight the inefficiencies in current SWIFT-based transactions.
  • โšก Counter-Argument Handling:
    • Emphasize technological solutions to cyber risks.
    • Present international agreements as a pathway to trust-building.

๐Ÿง  Strategic Analysis (SWOT)

  • ๐Ÿ’ช Strengths: Enhances efficiency, promotes financial inclusion.
  • ๐Ÿ› ๏ธ Weaknesses: Requires global cooperation, potential misuse.
  • ๐ŸŒŸ Opportunities: Integrating AI for real-time fraud detection.
  • โš ๏ธ Threats: Cybersecurity attacks and economic dominance concerns.

๐Ÿซ Connecting with B-School Applications

๐Ÿ“š Real-World Applications

  • Exploring trade efficiency projects in operations management.

๐ŸŽ“ Sample Questions

  • โ“ “How could a shared currency affect global GDP growth?”
  • โ“ “What are the implications for small economies?”

๐Ÿ“˜ Insights for Students

  • ๐Ÿ’ก Focus on data privacy, cross-border regulatory frameworks, and fintech innovations.

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