๐ Group Discussion (GD) Analysis Guide
๐ป Should Countries Adopt a Shared Digital Currency to Facilitate Global Trade?
๐ Introduction
๐ Opening Context
In a rapidly globalizing world, digital currencies offer transformative potential for international trade by reducing transaction costs and facilitating faster cross-border payments.
๐ Topic Background
The rise of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and stablecoins such as USDT has ignited debates about the feasibility of a shared global digital currency. Institutions like the IMF and the Bank for International Settlements have explored frameworks for digital currencies, underlining their potential to standardize and streamline global trade.
๐ Quick Facts and Key Statistics
- ๐ฐ Global Cryptocurrency Market Value (2024): $1.6 trillion, showcasing the growing adoption of digital assets.
- ๐ณ Cross-Border Payment Fees: Average of 6.3%, which a shared currency could reduce significantly.
- ๐ฆ CBDC Rollouts: 11 countries have launched Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs).
- ๐ Trade Impact: Digital currencies can save $120 billion annually in cross-border transaction fees.
๐ค Stakeholders and Their Roles
- ๐๏ธ Governments and Central Banks: Establish regulatory frameworks and issue digital currencies.
- ๐ผ Private Corporations: Develop supporting technology and infrastructure.
- ๐ International Organizations (IMF, BIS): Provide governance frameworks for interoperability.
- ๐ฅ Consumers and Merchants: Benefit from seamless and cost-effective transactions.
๐ Achievements and Challenges
โจ Achievements
- โ Financial Inclusion: CBDCs could extend services to 1.7 billion unbanked individuals worldwide.
- โ Reduced Costs: Digital currencies minimize reliance on intermediaries, saving billions annually.
- โ Real-Time Settlements: Facilitates instant cross-border trade settlements.
- โ Adoption of Blockchain: Enhances transparency and security in global transactions.
โ ๏ธ Challenges
- โ Regulatory Frameworks: Lack of global consensus on regulations.
- โ Cybersecurity Risks: Vulnerability to hacks and fraud.
- โ Currency Volatility: Potential instability in value due to market dynamics.
๐ Global Comparisons
- ๐จ๐ณ Chinaโs Digital Yuan: Accelerated cross-border trade but faces concerns over surveillance.
- ๐ช๐บ Eurozoneโs Digital Euro: Focused on regional interoperability within EU nations.
๐ Case Studies
- ๐๏ธ The Bahamasโ โSand Dollarโ: Enabled inclusive trade through innovative digital currency solutions.
๐ก Structured Arguments for Discussion
- โ Supporting Stance: “A shared digital currency would streamline global trade, saving billions and boosting economic efficiency.”
- ๐ Opposing Stance: “The risks of cybercrime and lack of trust between nations make such a currency unfeasible.”
- โ๏ธ Balanced Perspective: “While a shared digital currency offers immense potential, its success hinges on robust regulations and global cooperation.”
๐ฏ Effective Discussion Approaches
- ๐ Opening Approaches:
- Begin with the significance of rising cross-border payment fees.
- Reference successful CBDC implementations like the Digital Yuan.
- Highlight the inefficiencies in current SWIFT-based transactions.
- โก Counter-Argument Handling:
- Emphasize technological solutions to cyber risks.
- Present international agreements as a pathway to trust-building.
๐ง Strategic Analysis (SWOT)
- ๐ช Strengths: Enhances efficiency, promotes financial inclusion.
- ๐ ๏ธ Weaknesses: Requires global cooperation, potential misuse.
- ๐ Opportunities: Integrating AI for real-time fraud detection.
- โ ๏ธ Threats: Cybersecurity attacks and economic dominance concerns.
๐ซ Connecting with B-School Applications
๐ Real-World Applications
- Exploring trade efficiency projects in operations management.
๐ Sample Questions
- โ “How could a shared currency affect global GDP growth?”
- โ “What are the implications for small economies?”
๐ Insights for Students
- ๐ก Focus on data privacy, cross-border regulatory frameworks, and fintech innovations.