📋 Group Discussion (GD) Analysis Guide
🌍 Topic: Should countries adopt a global digital currency standard?
🌐 Introduction
- Context Setting: As digital transactions dominate globally, the idea of a universal digital currency standard gains traction, leveraging blockchain advancements and Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs).
- Background: With Bitcoin and CBDCs shaping the financial landscape, a global digital currency could streamline trade but raises concerns about sovereignty, cybersecurity, and equitable implementation.
📊 Quick Facts & Key Statistics
- Global Cryptocurrency Market: Valued at $1.2 trillion (2023), with Bitcoin holding 48% market share and 420 million users worldwide.
- Digital Transactions: Predicted to exceed 1.3 trillion by 2024, growing at 25% annually.
- CBDC Progress: Over 130 countries are exploring CBDCs, with 19 G20 nations in advanced pilot stages.
- Remittance Costs: Digital currencies could cut costs from 6.3% to under 1%, saving $20 billion annually.
- China’s e-CNY: Processed $14 billion in transactions since its 2020 pilot launch.
🤝 Stakeholders and Their Roles
- Governments & Central Banks: Develop frameworks, regulate, and issue CBDCs.
- International Organizations: IMF and World Bank support policy coordination and pilot funding.
- Private Sector: Innovate payment technologies and deploy infrastructure.
- Consumers: Drive adoption and integrate digital currencies into daily transactions.
🏆 Achievements and Challenges
- Achievements:
- Efficiency: Near-instant cross-border payments via blockchain.
- Cost Reduction: Remittance fees could drop below 1%.
- Inclusion: Mobile wallets enable access for unbanked populations.
- Challenges:
- Sovereignty Risks: Nations could lose control over monetary policies.
- Cybersecurity Threats: Increased risks of hacking and breaches.
- Technological Divide: Inadequate infrastructure limits adoption in low-income nations.
🌍 Global Comparisons
- China’s e-CNY: A successful pilot but raises privacy concerns.
- Sweden’s Digital Economy: Cashless transactions represent 80% of payments, setting global benchmarks.
📚 Case Study
India’s UPI and Digital Rupee: Demonstrates potential for scalable frameworks integrating digital payments and national currencies.
✨ Effective Discussion Approaches
- Opening Techniques:
- “A universal digital currency could save $20 billion annually in remittance fees.”
- “China’s e-CNY and Sweden’s cashless model highlight the viability of digital currency systems.”
- Counter-Argument Handling:
- Sovereignty Concerns: Propose hybrid models that coexist with national currencies.
- Cybersecurity Risks: Highlight blockchain’s transparency and traceability features.
🧠 Strategic Analysis of Strengths & Weaknesses
- Strengths: Enhanced efficiency, cost savings, and increased global trade.
- Weaknesses: Technology dependency and cybersecurity vulnerabilities.
- Opportunities: Advancing financial inclusion and global economic integration.
- Threats: Geopolitical tensions and uneven adoption rates.
📢 Structured Arguments for Discussion
- Supporting Stance: “A global digital currency can streamline trade and reduce transaction costs, boosting global GDP.”
- Opposing Stance: “A global standard risks undermining national monetary policies and increasing cyber threats.”
- Balanced Perspective: “A phased approach with global cooperation can address challenges while unlocking economic benefits.”
📈 Connecting with B-School Applications
- Real-World Applications: Study blockchain scalability, analyze trade economics, or explore cross-border payment frameworks.
- Sample Questions:
- “What are the implications of a global digital currency for trade?”
- “How does digital currency adoption influence financial inclusion?”
- Insights: Research CBDC developments, cybersecurity strategies, and global economic policies.